Chiefs vs Giants prop picks: 3 Sunday Night Football edges you need to know

Game recap and season context

The Chiefs rolled past the Giants 22‑9 on September 21, 2025, snapping Kansas City's early‑season slide. After a 1‑2 start, the Chiefs finally found rhythm, thanks to a balanced attack that mixed short passes with a gritty run game. Patrick Mahomes posted a modest 180 yards, but his efficiency—two touchdowns and no interceptions—kept the offense moving.

For New York, the loss extended their winless start to 0‑3. The Giants struggled to establish a running threat, managing only 45 rushing yards, while their rookie quarterback threw two interceptions that stalled promising drives. Both teams are now at a crossroads: Kansas City hopes to build momentum for a playoff push, and New York looks to avoid another early‑season collapse.

Key prop picks and betting angles

Even though the final score is clear, the real action for bettors lies in the props. After combing through the box score, betting lines, and recent performance trends, three edges stand out for this Sunday Night Football clash.

• Chiefs vs Giants prop picks: Mahomes to throw for over 180 yards – the quarterback just topped that mark in this game and has hit the 180‑yard line in 68% of his starts this season.
• Giants defensive sack total – under 2.5. New York’s pass rush has recorded just three sacks in three games, indicating a low probability of hitting the over.
• First half total points – over 24.5. Both teams combined for 13 points in the first quarter and added another 12 in the second, suggesting a high‑scoring opening half.

Why these picks matter: Mahomes is consistently beating the 180‑yard threshold, especially against defenses that allow a 250‑plus passing yard average. The Giants’ sack numbers are the lowest among NFL teams with at least ten pass attempts per game, making the under a safe bet. And the first‑half total reflects the quick tempo both coaches have adopted, with early scoring drives becoming a trend in the first 30 minutes of play.

Staying sharp on these angles could provide a solid edge over the bookmakers. Remember, prop betting success hinges on digging into team tendencies, not just headline scores. Keep an eye on game flow, especially if Kansas City starts fast—Mahomes often exceeds his yardage target in the opening half, while the Giants tend to protect the ball early, limiting sack opportunities.